Well, here we are more than halfway through the Big East Season and thoughts are turning to who gets a bye, who stays home etc. I looked over the field, their schedules left and saw what I think will be the way it will shake out.
Seed #1. Pittsburgh (14-2) Pitt will go through the rest of the season pretty easily with one loss at Georgetown. Wins- Providence, Louisville, @Seton Hall, West Virginia and @ Marquette. Losses- @ Georgetown. Key Games-At Marquette and at Georgetown. If Pitt were to lose both games they may just end up a 2 or 3 seed.
Seed #2 – Georgetown (12-4) Georgetown should be ok going 5-2 for the rest of the season. Wins- Pittsburgh, Marquette, West Virginia, @ Cincinnati, UConn. Losses- @ Villanova, @ Syracuse. Key Games- Pittsburgh and Marquette (both at home).
Seed #3 – Marquette (12-4) This is a tough call but losing at Georgetown will give the Eagles the #3 seed in head-to-head. Wins- @ DePaul, Louisville, Villanova, @ Notre Dame. Losses- Pittsburgh, @ Georgetown. Key Games – Pitt and @ Georgetown.
Seed #4 – Notre Dame (10-6) This team could drop all the way to #8 if they can’t compete on the road. If you look up Road Kill in the dictionary you will find the ND team picture. Wins -Providence, @Cincinnati, DePaul, @ Rutgers. Losses – Marquette. Key Games -Anyone on the road.
Seed #5 – Louisville (9-7) By going 2-1 in the mini conference the Cards will get the 5 seed. Wins – USF, St. John’s, Seton Hall. Losses – @ Pittsburgh, @ Marquette, @ UConn. Key Games - at UConn. A win here might get them a bye on Wednesday.
Seed #6 – Villanova (9-7) Under the mini conference rule Nova will be the 6 seed by going 3-2. Wins – Georgetown, @ Seton Hall, Cincinnati, Rutgers, Syracuse. Losses – @ Marquette, @ UConn. Key Games – Nova must hold serve at home and could possibly knock off UConn.
Seed #7 – Providence (9-7) Providence will go 2-2 in mini conference, losing to both Nova and Louisville. Wins – Syracuse, St. John’s, West Virginia, @ USF. Losses – @ Pittsburgh, @ Notre Dame, @ St. John’s. Key Games – If the Friars can pick a couple off @ ND and @ St. John’s they could move into the top 4.
Seed #8 – West Virginia (9-7) The Mountaineers will go 1-1 in the mini conference and the loss to Nova will drop them to an 8 seed. Tough away schedule won’t help. Wins – Seton Hall, Cincinnati. Losses – @ Pittsburgh, @ Georgetown, @ Providence. Key Games – WVU must take care of business and look to win at Providence.
Seed #9 – Syracuse (9-7) Fading fast, the Orange will Surprise Georgetown in a rivalry game in the dome. Wins – Georgetown, UConn, St. John’s, @ USF. Losses – @ Villanova, @ Providence. Key Games – The Orange are capable of beating both Nova and Providence but could also lose again to UConn.
Seed #10 – UConn (8-8) The Huskies are gaining confidence with a 2 game win streak but the talent level is not on a par with teams above them. Wins – Villanova, Seton Hall, @ Rutgers, Louisville. Losses - @ Georgetown, @ Syracuse. Key Games – Villanova and Louisville are almost MUST wins for the Huskies because I don’t think they can beat SU twice.
Seed # 11 – DePaul (7-9) Wins against #4 ND and #6 Villanova will boost DePaul over St. John’s into 11 seed. The loss to USF will knock the Demons down. Wins- Cincinnati, USF. Losses- Marquette, @ Notre Dame, @ USF. Key Games – The Demons should win @ USF and they can beat Notre Dame if the Irish play like last night against them.
Seed #12 – St. John’s (7-9) Wins over #4 ND and #7 Providence will not be enough to over DePaul. Wins- Providence, Rutgers. Losses – @ Louisville, @ Syracuse, @ Providence. Key Games – Winning one against Providence is the key. No way they beat Syracuse twice this year.
#13- Seton Hall (4-12) Not going! The Hall will lose 6 of their last 7 to eliminate them from MSG. Wins- USF. Losses – Pittsburgh, Villanova, @ West Virginia, @ UConn, @ Louisville, @ Cincinnati.Key Games - Don’t see the Hall winning in any of their remaing games and could lose to USF.
#14 – USF (4-12) A tough Loss to Seton Hall will drop USF to #14 and keep them in tampa in March. Wins – DePaul. Losses – @ Louisville, Syracuse, Providence, @ DePaul, @ Seton Hall. Key Games – Can USF win one against DePaul? Won’t matter for seeding anyway.
#15 – Cincinnati (3-13) This team deserves a lot of credit for being competitive despite having no bench at all. Wins – Seton Hall, @ Rutgers. Losses – Georgetown, @ Villanova, Notre Dame, @ West Virginia, @ DePaul. Key Games – Both wins above are key. Foul shooting could doom this team to 1-15 though.
#16 – Rutgers (2-14) The Knights will not win again in Big East games. Wins – none. Losses – @ Villanova, Notre Dame, UConn, @ St. John’s, Cincinnati. Key Games – Maybe a win against UConn or ND will salvage a horrible season.