Big East Hoops

Bigeasthoops.com Top 25, week 3

December 28, 2006 4:57 pm by Dan'l B

Top 25 Schools (complete list)

#   School             W- L     Rat    SoS   (r)  NCSoS   (r) -1W
1   Florida           11- 2    27.5    1.0 (159)    1.0 (168)   2
2   North Carolina    10- 1    27.2    5.1  (42)    5.1  (49)   1
3   Arizona            9- 1    24.9    8.2   (7)    8.2  (11)   3
4   Connecticut       11- 0    23.5   -3.3 (295)   -3.3 (300)   6
5   Texas A&M         10- 2    22.8    0.3 (184)    0.3 (192)   7
6   UCLA              10- 0    22.4    7.4  (13)    7.4  (17)  15
7   Kansas            10- 2    21.4    2.5 (108)    2.5 (123)   8
8   Villanova          8- 2    21.2    4.3  (64)    4.3  (69)   4
9   Notre Dame        10- 1    20.2   -2.2 (267)   -2.2 (271)  18
10  Ohio St           10- 2    20.1    5.2  (38)    5.2  (44)   5
10  Wisconsin         13- 1    20.1    1.4 (142)    1.4 (152)  26
12  Duke              11- 1    19.5    8.8   (3)    8.8   (6)  12
13  Oregon            11- 0    19.4    0.4 (183)    0.4 (191)  11
14  Maryland          11- 2    18.5    4.7  (51)    3.7  (87)   9
15  Gonzaga            9- 4    18.4    8.5   (5)    8.5   (9)  16
15  Illinois          12- 2    18.4    4.8  (48)    4.8  (57)  10
17  Indiana            8- 3    18.1    4.7  (51)    4.7  (59)  22
17  Clemson           12- 0    18.1   -0.9 (227)   -0.9 (232)  21
19  Kentucky           9- 3    17.6   11.1   (1)   11.1   (2)  28
19  Memphis            9- 3    17.6    5.4  (31)    6.3  (26)  37
21  Georgia            7- 2    17.5   -0.4 (210)   -0.4 (220)  14
22  Virginia Tech      8- 3    17.2    4.6  (54)    4.2  (71)  28
23  Georgia Tech       8- 3    17.0    4.9  (45)    5.2  (44)  37
24  Butler            11- 1    16.9    8.0   (8)    8.8   (6)  13
24  Missouri St        9- 2    16.9    2.9  (99)    2.8 (113)  17

The rest of the Big East

29  West Virginia      8- 1    15.5   -2.9 (283)   -2.9 (289)  30
34  Georgetown         9- 3    15.3    1.4 (142)    1.4 (152)  33
38  DePaul             7- 5    14.8    7.4  (13)    7.4  (17)  55
39  Pittsburgh        11- 2    14.7    3.5  (88)    3.5  (94)  51
52  Syracuse          10- 3    12.6    2.0 (122)    2.0 (136)  54
59  Marquette         11- 2    11.1    1.4 (142)    1.4 (152)  51
74  Providence         9- 2     9.0    1.5 (141)    1.5 (148)  64
78  Louisville         7- 4     8.4    3.2  (94)    3.2 (105) 110
92  Seton Hall         6- 2     7.2    0.0 (195)    0.0 (202)  74
99  Cincinnati         9- 3     6.2    1.4 (142)    1.4 (152) 103
128 St John’s          8- 3     3.3   -2.9 (283)   -2.9 (289) 104
150 South Florida      7- 5     1.1   -3.0 (288)   -3.0 (293) 133
209 Rutgers            5- 5    -3.5    1.4 (142)    1.4 (152) 224

Top 10 Conferences (complete list)

#  Conference                 W- L     Rat    SoS  (r)  NCSoS  (r)
1  Atlantic Coast           105-32    13.9    3.3  (3)    2.6  (7)
2  Southeastern             107-30    12.8    1.9  (9)    1.9 (11)
3  Big Ten                  103-35    12.1    2.4  (6)    2.4  (8)
4  Pacific 10                88-22    11.7    2.0  (8)    2.0 (10)
5  Big East                 136-43    11.3    0.8 (17)    0.8 (18)
6  Big 12                    97-36    10.4    0.5 (22)    0.5 (24)
7  Missouri Valley           76-30    10.1    2.3  (7)    1.8 (12)
8  Mountain West             69-31     5.0    0.6 (20)    0.6 (22)
9  Conference USA            65-48     3.9   -0.1 (23)   -0.2 (25)
10 West Coast                41-56     3.6    4.3  (1)    4.3  (1)

Projected Big East Standings (view page)

#  School            pW*- pL*   pCSoS*   (r)     pW*- pL*      PS?
1  Connecticut      13.7- 2.3      9.3  (16)    26.9- 3.1   NCAA-1
2  Notre Dame       12.6- 3.4     10.0  (15)    24.6- 4.4   NCAA-3
3  Villanova        11.9- 4.1     12.7   (1)    22.7- 6.3   NCAA-2
4  West Virginia    10.2- 5.8     10.8  (11)    20.6- 7.4   NCAA-8
5  Depaul            9.8- 6.2     10.9  (10)    17.7-11.3  NCAA-10
6  Georgetown        9.6- 6.4     12.3   (3)    19.2- 9.8   NCAA-9
7  Pittsburgh        9.3- 6.7     12.0   (6)    21.9- 9.1  NCAA-10
8  Syracuse          8.3- 7.7     12.1   (5)    19.3-10.7      NIT
9  Providence        7.5- 8.5     10.2  (14)    17.7-11.3      NIT
9  Marquette         7.5- 8.5     12.0   (6)    19.5-10.5      NIT
11 Seton Hall        6.5- 9.5     10.4  (12)    14.9-13.1      NIT
12 Louisville        6.4- 9.6     12.2   (4)    15.2-13.8      NIT
13 Cincinnati        5.9-10.1     10.4  (12)    15.7-14.3      NIT
14 St John’s         4.0-12.0     11.3   (9)    13.0-16.0
15 South Florida     3.4-12.6     11.6   (8)    11.8-18.2
16 Rutgers           1.5-14.5     12.4   (2)     7.3-20.7
  • If, for the sake of discussion, I give these rankings more credit than they deserve, the threshold for NCAA tournament at-large consideration is a rating of about 13.0. Seven BEast schools are solidly above that threshold, with an upper-tier of UConn, Villanova, and the Irish, and a mid-tier of WVU, the Hoyas, DePaul, and Pitt. Syracuse and Marquette have put themselves on the bubble.
  • Clearly, the rest of the season will be much more important than what we’ve seen so far. These rankings and ratings are intended to give some perspective on the quality of play and competition thus far. From here, performing above .500 in conference play and doing well in the conference tournament will move these teams up and down significantly.
  • Pittsburgh played great basketball in their first half-dozen games and looked like the upper-tier team that their ranking predicated. The second half-dozen was not so satisfactory. NIT-quality teams would produce that record, with medicore results against subpar schools — wins by 14, 17, and 3 over R. Morris, Duquesne, and Buffalo — and unimpressive games against big conference schools on the road. Saturday’s victory over a decent Dayton squad was a much better performance, and if those types of games continue, it will be a matter of time before Pitt rises back to the top.
  • The small conference schools are sliding. Butler and Missouri St. are barely in the top 25 and Wichita St.’s recent losses have pushed them out. Only Gonzaga has held steady at #15.

2 Responses to “Bigeasthoops.com Top 25, week 3”

donald wrote a comment on December 29, 2006

These rankings are wacky. Looking forward to some conference play to get some real data behind these rankings.

Mister D wrote a comment on December 29, 2006

Yeah, but they do give a decent indication of team/conference strength. And it’s not if the data is fake. It’s just that the data is not good enough upon which you can base a valid conclusion.
That said, I’m definitely looking forward to conference play! Next week, baby!

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